Olympia
Multi-Horizon Equities Intelligence

The record

Every signal each model has published, and what the price did afterwards — hit, missed, or still inside its window. Every number opens the trades behind it.

Time to targetReturn outcomesDownside
Daily — data as of 2026-10-21

Downside

what Daily winners went through on the way to paying — the deepest drawdown, and what a stop would have cost — measured signal to the end of tracking (65 trading days). Not a hit rate.
Read this as risk, not recordHistorically, these winners dipped before they paid. The stop columns show what a stop of that size would have done to this population — winners it would have exited before the target, and how the average outcome moved. Historical data, not an instruction.
ELITE181 winners · median worst moment -18.2%196 resolved779 still tracking9 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
89.5%(162)
61.9% (112)
−10%+
77.9%(141)
40.9% (74)
−15%+
60.2%(109)
18.8% (34)
−20%+
45.3%(82)
8.8% (16)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+7.6%
−5% price stop112 (61.9%)+0.3%
−10% price stop74 (40.9%)+0.9%
−15% price stop34 (18.8%)+3.8%
−25% price stop5 (2.8%)+6.8%
Time exit — day 3011 (6.1%)+7.3%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 196 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

HIGH403 winners · median worst moment -14.2%448 resolved699 still tracking5 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
78.7%(317)
51.4% (207)
−10%+
62.3%(251)
31.3% (126)
−15%+
45.9%(185)
13.7% (55)
−20%+
28.8%(116)
5.7% (23)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+6.1%
−5% price stop207 (51.4%)+1.6%
−10% price stop126 (31.3%)+2.4%
−15% price stop55 (13.7%)+4.4%
−25% price stop14 (3.5%)+5.7%
Time exit — day 3020 (5.0%)+6.3%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 448 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

MEDIUM400 winners · median worst moment -9.5%451 resolved381 still tracking7 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
71.3%(285)
50.5% (202)
−10%+
48.0%(192)
23.0% (92)
−15%+
29.5%(118)
8.8% (35)
−20%+
18.5%(74)
4.5% (18)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+6.9%
−5% price stop202 (50.5%)+1.6%
−10% price stop92 (23.0%)+3.7%
−15% price stop35 (8.8%)+5.3%
−25% price stop7 (1.8%)+6.4%
Time exit — day 3022 (5.5%)+7.1%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 451 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

Past performance does not predict future results. This is historical data, not investment advice. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.

Past performance does not predict future results. Historical blind walk-forward evidence, not investment advice.

The method behind these signals is published: OLYMPIA: Market-Regime-Conditioned Machine Learning for Equity Signal Generation — Rupert, Michael (Zenodo, 2026), DOI 10.5281/zenodo.18987223. The figures on this page are measured from the blind walk-forward record shown above, not taken from the paper.