The record
Every signal each model has published, and what the price did afterwards — hit, missed, or still inside its window. Every number opens the trades behind it.
Hourly — honest record on the EXTENDED-hours basis.
Hourly is shown on its HONEST basis — the EXTENDED-hours session it actually trades (04:00–20:00 ET, touch on ext-session Highs). The 85% claim lives at the RULED 10-day swing window, where ELITE reaches 86.9% (rate is the bar per the 8/10 ruling — Wilson LB is dev-side only, not the display gate). The earlier bands are the speed profile. The conservative-daily master figures were known-LOW; these supersede them for the record.
BASIS DISCONTINUITY (disclosed, not hidden): the Hourly cohort is the pyrois board-tier fold graded on the extended basis through 2026-07-30; where that history meets the forward daily book the series is NOT continuous — figures on either side of that seam are not one series.
HOURLY
How often Hourly signals have historically hit +10%
Each cell counts every signal that started at that strength, and marks it hit, missed, or still open at that checkpoint. The rate counts only the finished ones. A signal still inside its window is never counted against the rate — it is listed separately as still tracking. Click any cell to see the signals behind that exact number. Historical data, not a forecast.
| Band | ELITE | HIGH | MEDIUM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d (1 trading days) | |||
| 2d (2 trading days) | |||
| 3d (3 trading days) | |||
| 5d (5 trading days) | |||
| 8d (8 trading days) | |||
| 10d (10 trading days) | |||
| 13d (13 trading days) |
A glowing cell is one whose rate is 85% or better. Every number comes straight from the record — nothing is recomputed here.
Past performance does not predict future results. Historical blind walk-forward evidence, not investment advice.
The method behind these signals is published: OLYMPIA: Market-Regime-Conditioned Machine Learning for Equity Signal Generation — Rupert, Michael (Zenodo, 2026), DOI 10.5281/zenodo.18987223. The figures on this page are measured from the blind walk-forward record shown above, not taken from the paper.