Olympia
Multi-Horizon Equities Intelligence

The record

Every signal each model has published, and what the price did afterwards — hit, missed, or still inside its window. Every number opens the trades behind it.

Time to targetReturn outcomesDownside
Monthly — data as of 2026-10-18

Downside

what Monthly winners went through on the way to paying — the deepest drawdown, and what a stop would have cost — measured signal to the end of tracking (315 trading days). Not a hit rate.
Read this as risk, not recordHistorically, these winners dipped before they paid. The stop columns show what a stop of that size would have done to this population — winners it would have exited before the target, and how the average outcome moved. Historical data, not an instruction.
ELITE818 winners · median worst moment -12.3%970 resolved568 still tracking256 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
78.0%(638)
54.8% (448)
−10%+
58.7%(480)
34.7% (284)
−15%+
40.1%(328)
19.9% (163)
−20%+
26.4%(216)
11.3% (92)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+4.4%
−5% price stop448 (54.8%)+0.7%
−10% price stop284 (34.7%)+1.0%
−15% price stop163 (19.9%)+2.0%
−25% price stop42 (5.1%)+3.9%
Time exit — day 158111 (13.6%)+3.5%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 970 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

HIGH2048 winners · median worst moment -12.5%2460 resolved1315 still tracking413 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
78.0%(1597)
53.3% (1091)
−10%+
59.2%(1212)
33.3% (682)
−15%+
39.8%(814)
18.9% (387)
−20%+
26.6%(544)
11.3% (232)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+4.5%
−5% price stop1091 (53.3%)+0.8%
−10% price stop682 (33.3%)+1.1%
−15% price stop387 (18.9%)+2.1%
−25% price stop116 (5.7%)+3.6%
Time exit — day 158301 (14.7%)+3.3%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 2460 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

MEDIUM4735 winners · median worst moment -12.3%5610 resolved2803 still tracking569 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
77.5%(3668)
53.7% (2544)
−10%+
57.9%(2742)
32.0% (1516)
−15%+
39.9%(1888)
18.1% (857)
−20%+
26.6%(1259)
10.1% (478)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+5.2%
−5% price stop2544 (53.7%)+0.9%
−10% price stop1516 (32.0%)+1.5%
−15% price stop857 (18.1%)+2.4%
−25% price stop272 (5.7%)+3.8%
Time exit — day 158604 (12.8%)+4.2%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 5610 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

Past performance does not predict future results. This is historical data, not investment advice. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.

Past performance does not predict future results. Historical blind walk-forward evidence, not investment advice.

The method behind these signals is published: OLYMPIA: Market-Regime-Conditioned Machine Learning for Equity Signal Generation — Rupert, Michael (Zenodo, 2026), DOI 10.5281/zenodo.18987223. The figures on this page are measured from the blind walk-forward record shown above, not taken from the paper.