Olympia
Multi-Horizon Equities Intelligence

The record

Every signal each model has published, and what the price did afterwards — hit, missed, or still inside its window. Every number opens the trades behind it.

Time to targetReturn outcomesDownside
Weekly — data as of 2026-10-16

Downside

what Weekly winners went through on the way to paying — the deepest drawdown, and what a stop would have cost — measured signal to the end of tracking (130 trading days). Not a hit rate.
Read this as risk, not recordHistorically, these winners dipped before they paid. The stop columns show what a stop of that size would have done to this population — winners it would have exited before the target, and how the average outcome moved. Historical data, not an instruction.
ELITE579 winners · median worst moment -25.9%660 resolved3375 still tracking2 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
93.6%(542)
61.5% (356)
−10%+
86.9%(503)
40.4% (234)
−15%+
76.3%(442)
28.1% (163)
−20%+
64.3%(372)
20.2% (117)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+5.4%
−5% price stop356 (61.5%)+0.1%
−10% price stop234 (40.4%)+0.5%
−15% price stop163 (28.1%)+0.8%
−25% price stop85 (14.7%)+1.3%
Time exit — day 6529 (5.0%)+4.3%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 660 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

HIGH835 winners · median worst moment -26.5%932 resolved3793 still tracking
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
91.1%(761)
53.9% (450)
−10%+
82.9%(692)
35.1% (293)
−15%+
73.9%(617)
23.5% (196)
−20%+
62.3%(520)
13.9% (116)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+5.1%
−5% price stop450 (53.9%)+1.2%
−10% price stop293 (35.1%)+1.6%
−15% price stop196 (23.5%)+2.1%
−25% price stop70 (8.4%)+3.8%
Time exit — day 6530 (3.6%)+5.0%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 932 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

MEDIUM2271 winners · median worst moment -20.0%2548 resolved6411 still tracking3 not measurable
DrawdownShare of winners (anytime)…before the target
−5%+
86.4%(1961)
52.4% (1189)
−10%+
74.1%(1682)
31.5% (716)
−15%+
62.7%(1423)
20.0% (455)
−20%+
50.0%(1136)
12.2% (277)
What a stop would have cost this lane
Exit ruleWinners it exitsAverage outcome
No stop — held to target—+5.4%
−5% price stop1189 (52.4%)+1.5%
−10% price stop716 (31.5%)+2.4%
−15% price stop455 (20.0%)+3.0%
−25% price stop168 (7.4%)+4.3%
Time exit — day 65100 (4.4%)+5.0%

“Winners it exits” counts winners whose deepest Low reached the stop before the target was touched (a price stop) or that touched after the exit day (the time exit). Average outcome is over all 2548 resolved signals in this tier. Past behaviour, not a forecast.

Past performance does not predict future results. This is historical data, not investment advice. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.

Past performance does not predict future results. Historical blind walk-forward evidence, not investment advice.

The method behind these signals is published: OLYMPIA: Market-Regime-Conditioned Machine Learning for Equity Signal Generation — Rupert, Michael (Zenodo, 2026), DOI 10.5281/zenodo.18987223. The figures on this page are measured from the blind walk-forward record shown above, not taken from the paper.