The ledger: one win, one loss, one number that matters
Short · Signals & data · October 1, 2026
Olympia publishes educational content for learning purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing here is investment advice.
From the ledger — the latest win and the latest loss. The ATR column won't tell you who wins. It tells you how hard the ride punches, so size and room follow the breath. Every signal tracked to the finish, wins and losses both.
The lesson in writing
The latest from our very own ledger — where our models, every signal that they pick, we record. Good or bad. And we will show it to you, so that way there's complete truth. We're not trying to blow smoke in your face.
Right up here is the win. And this one right here is the loss. The winner was breathing about seven percent a day. The loser's breath? About six percent a day — a touch calmer than the winner. And it still died.
What it is
Today's read is the ATR column. It won't tell you who wins. What it does is tell you how hard your opponent is going to punch on that ride — to victory or defeat.
So you want to match the size of your investment, and your room, to the breath. Or the breath takes you out before the trade ever gets there.
How it's worked out
In brief: it is the average of the last fourteen days' true range — the travel from high to low, with an overnight gap counted in when there is one — divided by the price, so that names at very different prices can be read side by side.
The same arithmetic, written out step by step, is in One paid. One died. The ATR didn't pick either..
Where Olympia calculates it
The column sits on the board next to the name: ATR % (daily) — the average true range over fourteen daily bars as a percent of the close, worked out for every name that gets scanned, not just the ones that made the day's list.
The same number sets the entry zone, one ATR either side of today's centre, and the stop levels under your fill once you have marked a signal as one you're in.
And the ledger is the other half of the answer. Every signal to the finish, win or lose — and we show all of it right to you, so you can make the best decisions that you possibly can.
The record: Olympia's Death of a Trade card, 26 September 2026 — every signal tracked to its finish, wins and losses both. The ATR figures: average true range over fourteen daily bars, split-adjusted, measured on each name's own flag date. Historical, not predictive.
